• Sat. Apr 1st, 2023


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Democrats and the 2022 Midterms: ‘It’s Going to Be a Terrible Cycle’

Not everyone is so pessimistic. But for those charged with solving the Democrats’ midterms conundrum, the question, increasingly, is: How many seats can they save? Control of the Senate is deadlocked at 50-50, and Democrats are clinging to a five-seat majority in the House. Few Democratic strategists expect to keep the House, but many remain hopeful about the Senate, where there’s far more room for candidates to burnish their own independent brands.

When Jim Kessler, the executive vice president for policy at Third Way, a center-left think tank, recently reviewed past midterms for a presentation to Democratic strategists and Hill Democrats, he found that the party in power typically lost around 10 percentage points during off-cycle elections.

That suggested two main takeaways, he said. First, the Democratic Party’s current struggles are utterly ordinary by historical standards. And second, even candidates in safely blue political areas need to brace themselves for difficult campaigns.

“If you’re a district that is Biden plus 12 or less” — meaning the president won the House district in question by that many percentage points in 2020 — “you need to run like you’re losing,” Kessler said.

Wealthy donors in Silicon Valley are turning their attention to offices they have traditionally ignored: attorneys general, governors and secretaries of state in parts of the country that could prove decisive to the outcome of the presidential election in 2024.

In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, Republican candidates aligned with Donald Trump have disputed the 2020 election results, promoting dubious “audits” and conspiracy theories about voting machines. The widespread fear among donors is that, if those Trump allies are elected, they will find illegitimate ways to ensure his return to power in 2024.

With Democrats’ prospects in Washington looking dim, Mehlhorn is advising donors to look for opportunities to forestall and disrupt full Republican control in those states.

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The election of John Fetterman to the United States Senate in 2020 was a historic moment for Pennsylvania. Fetterman, a former mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania, was the first Democrat to win a Senate seat in the state in more than two decades. Since taking office, Fetterman has been working hard to adjust to life in the Senate and to make his mark on the national political landscape.Fetterman has been vocal about his support for progressive policies, such as raising the minimum wage and expanding access to healthcare. He has also been an advocate for criminal justice reform, including ending cash bail and eliminating mandatory minimum sentences. In addition, Fetterman has been an outspoken critic of President Donald Trump and his administration’s policies.In order to adjust to life in the Senate, Fetterman has had to learn the ropes quickly. He has had to become familiar with the rules and procedures of the Senate, as well as the various committees and subcommittees that he serves on. He has also had to learn how to work with his colleagues from both sides of the aisle in order to get legislation passed.Fetterman’s transition into the Senate has not been without its challenges. He has had to adjust to a much higher level of scrutiny than he experienced as mayor of Braddock. He has also had to become accustomed to the pace of work in the Senate, which can be quite different from what he was used to in local politics.Despite these challenges, Fetterman is determined to make a positive impact in the Senate. He is committed to fighting for progressive policies that will benefit all Pennsylvanians. With his passion and dedication, Fetterman is sure to make a lasting impression on the national political landscape.
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