CNBC Pro: What one tech fund manager is expecting from Apple and Alphabet earnings this week
Microsoft issued a disappointing revenue forecast last week, but its stock has since increased. What does that mean for the other Big Tech companies set to report earnings?
Tech fund manager Jeremy Gleeson, who manages the £1.1 billion ($1.5 billion) AXA Framlington Global Technology Fund, said there was enough bad news in Microsoft’s earnings to “spook” investors into selling the stock.
However, the fact that the stock is up by more than 2% subsequently is an “encouraging” sign for the rest of Big Tech’s earnings, Gleeson told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe”.
He shared his thoughts on what to expect from Apple and Alphabet this week.
CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.
— Ganesh Rao
IMF raises global growth forecast for the year
The International Monetary Fund hiked its global growth projection to 2.9% for 2023 due to better-than-expected domestic factors in several countries, such as the United States and China’s reopening.
China’s reopening of its economy after strict Covid lockdown is expected to contribute to higher global growth.
However, the IMF cautioned that higher interest rates and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will still weigh on activity. China’s reopening could also still stall which may dampen the outlook, it added.
The revision would register a 0.2% improvement from the IMF”s previous forecast in October, but still marks a fall from an expansion of 3.4% in 2022.
—Silvia Amaro, Lee Ying Shan
BYD shares jump 3.84% on expectations of stellar annual earnings
Shares of Chinese EV maker BYD rose 3.84% after the company announced its expectations of a record year-on-year profit.
In an exchange filing, BYD forecasts their net profit for 2022 to increase from 1.25 billion yuan ($185.5 million) to up to 16.3 billion yuan, marking around a 1,200% hike compared to 2021.
The projection of a stellar growth is supported by the new energy vehicle industry, which BYD stated has been “experiencing continued explosive growth.”
“The Company has overcome the shock of a complex and challenging external environment and a number of unexpected factors to achieve such a strong year-on-year growth in new energy vehicle sales,” the report further stated.
—Lee Ying Shan
China’s official manufacturing PMI rebounds
China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) posted an expansion for the first time since October 2022, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
China’s manufacturing activity for January came in at 50.1, above the 50-point threshold separating growth from contraction.
The reading beats Reuters’ forecasts of 49.8, and stands higher than December’s figure of 47.
Similarly, China’s non-manufacturing PMI, which comprise of the services, catering and construction sector, rose to 54.5 from 41.6 in December.
—Lee Ying Shan
Samsung shares drop after posting 69% plunge in profits
Samsung Electronics recorded a steep 69% decline in profits to 4.3 trillion won ($3.49 billion) on Tuesday on the back of a slump in demand for consumer electronics.
“Demand for smartphones remained sluggish with the mass market contracting sharply due to continued inflation and geopolitical instability,” Samsung’s earnings release stated.
Samsung’s shares last traded down 3%.
—Lee Ying Shan
Adani Group founder and chairman’s net worth falls $36 billion
Adani Group founder and chairman Gautam Adani’s net worth fell by $36 billion year-to-date as of Monday’s market close, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Adani, the richest man in Asia and once second only to Elon Musk, fell out of the world’s top 10 richest to 11th place on the Bloomberg’s Billionaire Index, as of Monday’s close.
His net worth peaked at $150 billion on Sept. 20, 2022, before falling to $84.4 billion as of Monday’s close, according to the index.
Adani Enterprises’ stock price remains more than 25% lower month-to-date, Refinitiv data showed. It proceeded with a secondary share sale worth $2.5 billion, which was overshadowed by a rout that wiped out a total of $65 billion as of Monday’s close.
– Jihye Lee
CNBC Pro: Can Chinese stocks rally further? One investment bank thinks so — and names its top stock picks
The recovery in Chinese stocks gained steam on Monday, as China’s benchmark index came within striking distance of a bull market.
Bernstein’s analysts believe the rally has further to go and reveal their top stocks to play it.
Pro subscribers can read more here.
— Zavier Ong
South Korea’s December industrial output plunges, misses forecast
South Korea’s factory output for December fell 7.3%, marking its worst annualized reading in more than two and a half years since May 2020’s figure of a 9.6% plunge.
The reading was steeper than Reuters’ expectations of a 5.1% drop, as well as November’s 3.4% decline.
—Lee Ying Shan
Stocks close lower Monday, Dow falls more than 250 points
Stocks closed lower Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping a six-day win streak.
The Dow declined 260.99 points, or 0.77%, to 33,717.09. The S&P 500 fell 1.3% to 4,017.77. The Nasdaq Composite dropped by 1.96% to 11,393.81.
— Sarah Min
Time to sell Tesla, say technician Carter Worth
Tesla‘s stock has been on a “wild ride” and it’s time to sell, according to Carter Worth, CEO and Founder of Carter Braxton Worth Charting.
Shares of the electric-vehicle maker have surged 38% since the start of the year, following last year’s 65% plunge. Last week, Tesla reported record revenue and an earnings beat. CEO Elon Musk also said the company was on target to potentially produce 2 million vehicles this year.
“It just feels a little bit crowded, steep; too far, too fast,” Worth said on CNBC’s “The Exchange.” The name is also the most active in the options market, he pointed out.
“It is a rally to a difficult level,” he added. “”The play here, if you are long, is to exit and with new money, I would be short.”
Tesla’s year-to-date rally
— Michelle Fox
Don’t count on this early 2023 rally, says JPMorgan’s Kolanovic
Investors should fade the early 2023 rally, warned JPMorgan’s top market strategist Marko Kolanovic.
The first quarter will likely mark a turning point for the market – and its upward trajectory probably won’t continue, he said.
“The fundamental confirmation for the next leg higher might not come,” Kolanovic said in a Monday note to investors. “And instead markets could encounter an air-pocket of weaker earnings and activity as they move through Q2 and Q3.”
He anticipates that the backdrop for corporate profits will start to turn lower as pricing power reverses.
The strategist’s comments arrive as stocks take a breather from their latest run. Still, the S&P 500 is up more than 5% for the year, while the Nasdaq Composite has bounced more than 9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up about 2.3% in 2023.
Kolanovic also foresees a “postponement rather than fading of recession risk.” Though U.S. gross domestic product rose at an annualized pace of 2.9% in the fourth quarter, there is weakness underlying that headline number, “as private demand printed its weakest growth since the start of the recovery,” the strategist said.
“A weak trajectory for US domestic demand keeps recession risk elevated, even as the tightness in labor markets postpones this recession risk,” Kolanovic wrote. “Meanwhile, restrictive real policy rates represent an ongoing headwind, keeping the risk of a recession later in the year high.”